Exit polls LIVE | Cong win likely in Haryana; NC-Cong has edge in J-K
While three-phase polls to the 90-seat Jammu and Kashmir Assembly concluded on Oct 1, single-phase polls to the 90-seat Haryana Assembly were held on Saturday
The keenly-watched Assembly elections in Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir have come to an end and pollsters are about to come out with their predictions.
While the elections to the 90-seat Jammu and Kashmir Assembly were held in three phases and concluded on October 1, the polls to the 90-seat Haryana Assembly were held in a single phase on Saturday (October 5). Polling in Haryana got over at 6 pm.
First J&K Assembly polls in 10 years
The Union Territory of Jammu and Kashmir has voted in an Assembly election for the first time since 2014. None of the major parties could bag a full majority in 2014 and there are fears of a hung Assembly this time too.
In 2014, the Mehbooba Mufti-led PDP had garnered 28 seats, while the BJP had come second with 25 seats. The PDP and the BJP had joined hands to form the government, which lasted till June 19, 2018.
After that, Jammu and Kashmir was under Governor’s rule, which was followed by the abrogation of Article 370 and the bifurcation of the state into the Union Territories of Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh.
This time, the Congress and National Conference have formed an alliance, while the Awami Ittehad Party led by Engineer Rashid can be a major deciding factor.
BJP faces strong anti-incumbency sentiments in Haryana
For the 90-seat Haryana Assembly, the battle is mainly between the ruling BJP and the Opposition Congress. The BJP faces a strong anti-incumbency factor this time, while the Congress aims to get back power riding on the waves of farmers’ protests, wrester’s protests, and the Agnipath fiasco.
The 2019 Haryana polls had thrown up a hung Assembly. The BJP had got 40 seats, while the Congress got 31. The BJP had joined hands with the Dushyant Chautala-led JJP which had got 10 seats.
The BJP-JJP coalition collapsed in March, while three Independent candidates also withdrew their support in May, and Manohar Lal Khattar was replaced by Nayab Singh Saini as the chief minister.
Read our other poll stories below:
As NC hopes for J&K victory, ominous signs for Abdullahs
Why women leaders are giving BJP headaches in battleground Haryana
Can Modi magic and OBCs help BJP trump all its troubles in Haryana?
Follow our live updates below:
Live Updates
- 5 Oct 2024 1:50 PM GMT
India Today-C-Voter forecast for J&K (90 seats)
NC + INC: 40-48BJP: 27-32PDP: 6-12Others: 6-11 - 5 Oct 2024 1:44 PM GMT
India Today-C-Voter forecast for Kashmir Valley (47 seats)
NC + INC: 29-33PDP: 6-10Others: 6-10BJP: 0-1 - 5 Oct 2024 1:30 PM GMT
Peoples Pulse prediction for Haryana
INC: 55 (+/- 6)BJP: 26 (+/- 6)INLD + BSP: 2-3JJP: 0-1IND: 3-5 - 5 Oct 2024 1:27 PM GMT
Peoples Pulse forecast for J&K
JKNC + INC: 46-50 (33-35 and 13-15)BJP: 23-27PDP: 7-11Others: 4-5 - 5 Oct 2024 1:22 PM GMT
What pollsters predict for Haryana
Dainik Bhaskar exit poll predicts 44-54 seats for Congress in Haryana.
Dhruv Research forecasts 50-64 seats for Congress and 22-32 for BJP.
- 5 Oct 2024 1:22 PM GMT
Peoples Pulse predictions for Haryana and J&K
Peoples Pulse says BJP may win 20-32 seats in Haryana and 23-27 in J&K. - 5 Oct 2024 1:10 PM GMT
J&K polls (43 Jammu seats of total 90)
India Today-C Voter
NC+: 11-15
BJP: 27-31
PDP: 0-2
Others: 0-1